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Red46
383415.5
664515.3
928911.2
Blue57
857317.8
32436.7
258513.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466202040801001204657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3834
#20
15.50.4
18.818.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 21.2
324
#2
36.70.1
29.429.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End8.2
Second
6645
#12
15.30.4
14.814.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End3.3
blue by 2.5
8573
#21
17.80.1
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Third
9289
#33
11.20.3
11.611.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End4.1
blue by 2.6
2585
#18
13.70.1
14.614.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed