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Red55
857628.8
125523.1
918112.4
Blue85
429520.9
23128.1
664515.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6966204060801001205585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.6
28.026.4
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End6.5
red by 0.6
231
#5
28.11.6
28.630.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End7.0
Second
1255
#19
23.11.6
22.520.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End8.4
red by 2.2
20.91.2
20.421.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End6.9
Third
9181
#25
12.41.6
14.112.5
Auto1.1
Teleop6.8
End4.5
blue by 2.9
6645
#12
15.31.4
13.314.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned