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Red88
25878.2
11851.0
383415.5
Blue22
711514.5
372813.5
258513.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8334020601001201401608822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
51.01.3
36.738.0
Auto16.6
Teleop25.5
End8.7
red by 36.6
7115
#15
14.51.8
11.09.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.8
Second
3834
#20
15.51.3
18.019.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 1.7
2585
#18
13.71.8
13.011.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Third
2587
#29
8.21.3
17.018.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 5.3
3728
#32
13.51.8
13.912.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed