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Red91
32436.7
859111.2
303537.6
Blue69
857317.8
913627.7
125523.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84692040601001201409169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.3
34.735.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 9.9
9136
#10
27.70.2
27.026.8
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End7.3
Second
324
#2
36.70.3
33.834.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End8.2
red by 13.6
1255
#19
23.10.2
22.422.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.7
End8.4
Third
8591
#35
11.20.3
8.38.6
Auto0.9
Teleop4.6
End5.7
blue by 6.6
8573
#21
17.80.2
17.116.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5