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Red43
664515.3
458718.9
432815.7
Blue63
505215.4
429520.9
749215.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453204060801004363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#14
18.90.2
19.018.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
blue by 2.0
20.90.3
20.320.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End6.9
Second
4328
#17
15.70.2
15.815.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End4.8
red by 0.3
5052
#23
15.40.3
14.915.1
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End5.3
Third
6645
#12
15.30.2
15.515.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End3.3
red by 0.2
7492
#31
15.10.3
14.614.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End4.8