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Red76
32436.7
859111.2
303537.6
Blue97
857628.8
817729.4
837022.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8483607080901001107697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
35.035.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 8.2
8177
#13
29.40.4
28.729.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.3
End6.4
Second
324
#2
36.70.0
34.134.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End8.2
red by 7.9
28.80.4
28.128.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End6.5
Third
8591
#35
11.20.0
8.68.6
Auto0.9
Teleop4.6
End5.7
blue by 11.7
8370
#26
22.90.4
22.222.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End5.7