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Red58
635736.1
288219.4
908110.6
Blue44
859820.6
769126.5
731213.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465601001502002503005844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.9
17.718.6
Auto12.5
Teleop13.9
End9.6
red by 9.5
26.50.5
22.822.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End7.8
Second
2882
#15
19.40.9
16.717.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End7.2
blue by 1.2
8598
#31
20.60.5
15.615.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End7.0
Third
9081
#30DQ
10.60.9
10.010.9
Auto1.5
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 2.6
7312
#17
13.20.5
12.912.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed