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Red42
542736.8
862512.5
568214.8
Blue118
32443.8
296918.3
635736.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8075406010012042118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#25
36.82.8
44.541.7
Auto9.7
Teleop21.5
End5.5
blue by 7.0
324
#2
43.83.2
38.441.6
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
Second
5682
#29
14.82.8
17.214.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End3.8
blue by 21.2
36.13.2
18.621.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.9
End9.6
Third
8625
#23
12.52.8
12.49.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 5.8
2969
#16
18.33.2
13.616.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned