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Red108
913710.9
11861.9
711510.5
Blue110
421931.7
814417.2
592333.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92590204080100120140160108110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
61.91.4
64.265.6
Auto17.0
Teleop37.6
End7.2
red by 28.4
33.53.3
23.226.5
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End3.8
Second
9137
#19
10.91.4
4.96.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 20.8
31.73.3
25.929.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End6.1
Third
7115
#27
10.51.4
13.014.4
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End5.2
blue by 6.7
8144
#32
17.23.3
10.814.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsEarned