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Red118
41829.1
839213.9
296918.3
Blue41
59088.5
373519.8
383419.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515302040608010011841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#11
29.12.7
25.027.7
Auto13.3
Teleop8.5
End7.4
red by 9.3
3735
#26
19.80.5
19.118.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
Second
2969
#16
18.32.7
14.817.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End2.7
blue by 0.8
3834
#18
19.10.5
19.519.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End6.3
Third
8392
#22
13.92.7
8.511.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.3
End6.7
red by 5.5
5908
#34
8.50.5
10.610.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed