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Red95
918121.8
635736.1
507013.5
Blue100
930714.8
32443.8
23135.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5294015095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.12.7
24.126.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.9
End9.6
blue by 7.7
324
#2
43.81.1
43.744.8
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
Second
9181
#12
21.82.7
17.320.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End5.0
blue by 14.0
231
#6
35.81.1
28.029.1
Auto11.4
Teleop16.0
End8.4
Third
5070
#33
13.52.7
12.915.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End4.9
blue by 1.3
9307
#21
14.81.1
11.312.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned