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Red92
23135.8
296918.3
769126.5
Blue108
905118.7
296626.8
32443.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749220406010012014016092108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#6
35.80.7
29.129.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.0
End8.4
blue by 8.0
324
#2
43.81.3
44.846.1
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
Second
26.50.7
25.225.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End7.8
blue by 0.3
2966
#28
26.82.1
21.523.7
Auto10.9
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Third
2969
#16
18.30.7
17.518.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End2.7
blue by 0.4
9051
#20
18.71.3
17.518.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned