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Red99
373519.8
463924.5
421931.7
Blue46
908110.6
859820.6
862512.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8536020601001201401609946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.3
32.133.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End6.1
red by 11.1
8598
#31
20.60.4
18.418.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End7.0
Second
24.51.3
23.224.5
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End6.6
red by 12.0
8625
#23
12.50.4
10.010.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
3735
#26
19.81.3
18.519.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
red by 9.2
9081
#30
10.60.4
11.712.1
Auto1.5
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsMissed