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Red69
41829.1
463924.5
568214.8
Blue105
296626.8
542736.8
769126.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719102040608010012014016069105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#11
29.10.0
31.031.0
Auto13.3
Teleop8.5
End7.4
blue by 7.7
5427
#25
36.81.5
34.235.7
Auto9.7
Teleop21.5
End5.5
Second
24.50.0
23.523.5
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End6.6
blue by 2.3
2966
#28
26.82.0
23.725.7
Auto10.9
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Third
5682
#29
14.80.0
14.614.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End3.8
blue by 11.7
26.51.5
24.926.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned