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Red68
709112.2
542736.8
458723.9
Blue95
463924.5
592333.5
288219.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78750501001502002506895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#25
36.80.3
35.735.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.5
End5.5
red by 3.4
33.51.6
30.031.6
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End3.8
Second
4587
#14
23.90.3
24.724.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.7
End5.3
blue by 0.6
24.51.6
23.525.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
7091
#24
12.20.3
12.612.3
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End7.8
blue by 7.3
2882
#15
19.41.6
17.519.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned