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Red101
421931.7
859820.6
23135.8
Blue68
761625.1
930714.8
296918.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905302040608010012014010168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#6
35.81.4
31.332.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.0
End8.4
red by 10.6
7616
#13
25.10.9
23.324.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End8.5
Second
31.71.4
29.631.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End6.1
red by 13.4
2969
#16
18.30.9
17.318.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Third
8598
#31
20.61.4
18.720.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End7.0
red by 5.8
9307
#21
14.80.9
13.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned