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Red81
905118.7
592333.5
421931.7
Blue116
769126.5
542736.8
383419.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878785909510011081116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.0
32.832.8
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End3.8
blue by 3.4
5427
#25
36.80.3
36.636.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.5
End5.5
Second
31.70.0
31.031.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End6.1
red by 5.2
26.50.3
26.326.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End7.8
Third
9051
#20
18.70.0
18.018.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 0.4
3834
#18
19.10.3
18.819.1
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End6.3