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Red52
288219.4
918121.8
373519.8
Blue84
421931.7
592333.5
905118.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629102040801001201401605284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9181
#12
21.80.2
22.021.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End5.0
blue by 11.7
33.50.1
32.832.8
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End3.8
Second
3735
#26
19.80.2
20.019.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
blue by 11.9
31.70.1
31.031.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End6.1
Third
2882
#15
19.40.2
19.719.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End7.2
red by 0.8
9051
#20
18.70.1
18.018.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8