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Red128
32443.8
296626.8
11861.9
Blue107
769126.5
542736.8
383419.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1567750100200128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
61.90.2
63.263.0
Auto17.0
Teleop37.6
End7.2
red by 25.1
5427
#25
36.80.5
36.937.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.5
End5.5
Second
324
#2
43.80.2
45.144.9
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End7.6
red by 17.2
26.50.5
26.627.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End7.8
Third
2966
#28
26.80.2
28.228.0
Auto10.9
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 7.7
3834
#18
19.10.5
19.119.6
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End6.3