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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18712850100150200250199105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.5
65.465.9
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 18.9
46.90.5
47.446.9
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
65.80.5
65.365.8
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 25.1
8019
#12
40.60.5
41.140.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Third
3679
#22
38.50.5
38.138.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
red by 0.4
4219
#20
38.20.5
38.638.2
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7