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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159850150200113153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#17
48.30.1
45.946.1
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
red by 5.8
9140
#10
42.52.5
35.738.2
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
Second
5923
#37
34.00.1
34.734.9
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 6.6
8019
#12
40.62.5
36.839.3
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Third
5613
#30
31.00.1
25.125.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
red by 10.0
9181
#40
21.02.5
21.323.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned