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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72137050100150200103152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.8
31.132.9
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
blue by 10.4
53.31.8
43.245.0
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
Second
9054
#34
28.51.8
25.727.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
blue by 15.1
5892
#11
43.71.8
45.947.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
8827
#28
27.61.8
19.020.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
blue by 2.8
1255
#33
30.41.8
31.533.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned