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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11111650100150200129139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.81.3
65.166.4
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 20.6
45.22.0
36.538.5
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
8827
#28
27.61.3
20.021.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
blue by 15.4
42.92.0
34.336.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Third
9051
#36
20.01.3
19.821.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 20.6
8019
#12
40.62.0
37.839.9
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned