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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412950100150200250146166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#27
52.91.1
43.244.3
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
blue by 0.5
53.32.0
48.650.5
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
Second
3035
#16
47.11.1
39.740.7
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
blue by 2.2
324
#19
49.32.0
45.947.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Third
4063
#29
42.91.1
42.243.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
red by 16.3
4639
#31
26.62.0
26.928.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned