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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11794406080140160180125120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.9
36.837.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
blue by 10.4
53.31.9
47.349.3
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
Second
42.20.9
43.444.3
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
red by 14.0
2882
#35
28.21.9
22.424.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Third
4639
#31
26.60.9
26.427.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
red by 0.4
7503
#39
26.21.9
21.323.2
Auto7.6
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned