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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13013350100150200250150135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.8
49.351.1
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
red by 6.3
3035
#16
47.10.4
45.345.7
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
Second
5427
#13
41.01.8
38.139.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
blue by 0.1
9136
#15
41.10.4
39.840.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
Third
3679
#22
38.51.8
35.237.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
blue by 2.1
8019
#12
40.60.4
39.239.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned