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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311050100200250136142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.4
62.062.4
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 22.8
4063
#29
42.91.6
40.041.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
Second
5414
#27
52.90.4
41.441.8
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
red by 10.7
42.21.6
36.237.8
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
Third
9080
#38
23.00.4
26.827.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
blue by 15.1
4219
#20
38.21.6
31.232.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned