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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14314250100200250300158175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#16
47.10.4
46.747.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
blue by 5.8
5414
#27
52.90.9
51.652.5
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
Second
45.20.4
44.845.2
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 2.2
42.90.9
41.642.6
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Third
4063
#29
42.90.4
42.542.9
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
red by 0.4
9140
#10
42.50.9
41.242.1
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5