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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14415004006008001,0001,2001,400163159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#27
52.90.5
52.553.0
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
blue by 0.5
53.30.4
52.953.3
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
Second
42.90.5
42.643.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
blue by 8.3
6800
#24
51.20.4
50.851.2
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
Third
9140
#10
42.50.5
42.142.6
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
red by 5.7
2689
#21
36.80.4
36.436.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2