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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185140100150200250172164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.1
65.365.4
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 12.5
53.30.6
51.952.5
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
Second
65.80.1
65.265.3
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 14.5
6800
#24
51.20.6
49.750.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
Third
3679
#22
38.50.1
38.038.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
red by 1.7
2689
#21
36.80.6
35.436.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2