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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961335015020056118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#32
38.32.6
38.335.7
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
blue by 33.0
3005
#12
71.40.2
69.168.9
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
Second
8749
#21
36.02.6
31.028.4
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
red by 5.4
2587
#20
30.50.2
33.133.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Third
7506
#36
28.12.6
25.723.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
red by 10.2
9034
#40
18.00.2
18.218.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsMissed