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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128134100150200144133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.41.6
69.270.7
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 6.0
148
#11
65.40.5
61.962.4
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
Second
8573
#30
30.11.6
28.930.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 18.5
48.50.5
46.947.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
Third
5503
#23
25.01.6
22.424.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
red by 7.0
9034
#40
18.00.5
16.116.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed