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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89120050100150200102140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#33
32.91.0
30.231.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
blue by 20.9
5411
#10
53.81.8
47.649.4
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
Second
8370
#28
32.91.0
29.430.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
blue by 19.2
52.01.8
46.648.4
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Third
4610
#27
29.81.0
27.728.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
red by 12.3
5682
#39
17.61.8
14.416.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned