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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211750100150200250142137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.5
63.863.4
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 5.4
624
#2
59.31.4
49.450.7
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
Second
2587
#20
30.50.5
30.830.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
blue by 7.8
4153
#32
38.31.4
36.237.6
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
7616
#16
26.60.5
27.627.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
red by 0.4
5261
#22
26.11.4
26.027.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned