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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14673050100200130116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.1
63.463.5
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 28.7
8749
#21
36.02.2
31.834.0
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
5829
#18
34.10.1
38.338.4
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
red by 3.6
2587
#20
30.52.2
30.332.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Third
8874
#38
29.10.1
26.426.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
red by 9.7
7312
#37
19.42.2
15.617.8
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned