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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10416250150200250115165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.3
61.862.2
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
blue by 1.7
148
#11
65.41.0
62.263.2
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
Second
7616
#16
26.60.3
25.726.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
blue by 21.4
48.01.0
47.548.5
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Third
9034
#40
18.00.3
17.417.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
blue by 19.1
5572
#19
37.11.0
35.336.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned