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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641035015020016390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.41.1
69.270.3
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 32.8
5417
#14
38.61.3
39.438.1
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
Second
6357
#13
44.11.1
43.144.2
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
red by 6.6
8858
#29
37.51.3
38.837.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
8749
#21
36.01.1
34.435.5
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
red by 10.9
5503
#23
25.01.3
26.325.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned