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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185170120140160200220240190145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.40.4
70.370.7
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 6.7
64.70.5
64.163.6
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
118
#1
67.60.4
66.667.0
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
red by 4.0
63.60.5
63.162.6
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
Third
8576
#15
39.10.4
38.138.5
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
red by 4.4
9088
#17
34.70.5
35.234.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0