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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12414450100200152148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.4
48.348.7
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
blue by 4.0
52.60.1
52.452.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Second
6357
#13
44.10.4
43.944.3
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
blue by 7.4
2881
#24
51.50.1
51.451.5
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
Third
7616
#16
26.60.4
26.326.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
blue by 2.5
8874
#38
29.10.1
29.029.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4