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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15717250100200250155181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.40.1
63.863.9
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
red by 0.7
64.70.4
63.764.1
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
624
#2
59.30.1
57.757.8
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
blue by 4.3
63.60.4
62.763.1
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
Third
4192
#35
29.50.1
27.928.0
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 5.3
9088
#17
34.70.4
34.935.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0