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Red190
11867.7
857639.2
300571.5
Blue181
667265.6
246865.5
367938.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187180120140160200220240260190181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
71.50.3
71.471.7
Auto15.8
Teleop46.5
End8.0
red by 5.8
6672
Unranked
65.60.1
65.966.0
Auto14.3
Teleop42.1
End8.5
Second
118
Unranked
67.70.3
67.668.0
Auto17.1
Teleop39.8
End9.6
red by 2.2
2468
Unranked
65.50.1
65.865.9
Auto15.7
Teleop41.2
End8.5
Third
8576
Unranked
39.20.3
39.139.5
Auto11.6
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 0.9
3679
Unranked
38.30.1
38.538.7
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End9.9