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Red73
258241.6
712119.7
32823.6
Blue75
268731.6
268929.2
732110.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5569204060801007375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.62.2
25.327.5
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End7.3
red by 10.0
31.60.4
28.528.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Second
7121
#14
19.72.2
19.421.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.0
End7.1
blue by 9.5
2689
#10
29.20.4
23.022.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End6.0
Third
3282
#31
3.62.2
8.610.8
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
blue by 7.3
7321
#27
10.90.4
11.711.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed