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Red83
541730.5
268929.2
887417.2
Blue68
712119.7
617115.4
750317.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7756020401001201408368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#24
30.51.2
29.630.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End7.3
red by 10.8
7121
#14
19.70.4
21.721.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.0
End7.1
Second
2689
#10
29.21.2
26.227.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End6.0
red by 11.6
7503
#13
17.60.4
18.918.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End5.0
Third
8874
#17
17.21.2
14.115.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 1.9
6171
#26
15.40.4
14.714.3
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned