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Red33
690118.4
676812.2
541730.5
Blue133
903418.9
174536.0
246850.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649920408012014016018033133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#24
30.52.5
30.828.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End7.3
blue by 19.7
50.22.8
45.948.7
Auto10.6
Teleop29.4
End10.2
Second
6901
#12
18.42.5
21.318.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End6.0
blue by 17.7
36.02.8
29.131.9
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End8.7
Third
6768
#29
12.22.8
12.09.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.8
blue by 6.7
9034
#15
18.92.8
13.416.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned