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Red104
915623.1
380231.3
268731.6
Blue88
268929.2
543128.1
885822.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957820406012014016010488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.3
32.032.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.4
End6.5
red by 2.5
2689
#10
29.20.2
27.727.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End6.0
Second
31.30.3
31.732.0
Auto12.2
Teleop12.8
End6.3
red by 3.2
5431
#19
28.10.2
26.626.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Third
9156
#16
23.10.3
23.523.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End4.7
red by 0.4
8858
#20
22.70.2
21.221.4
Auto2.9
Teleop15.1
End4.7