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Red81
697418.3
885831.5
750326.3
Blue43
271441.1
42518.5
881612.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60623040507080908143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#10
31.51.0
24.525.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End8.2
blue by 9.6
41.11.0
32.931.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Second
7503
#14
26.31.0
16.617.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.7
End6.9
red by 13.6
8816
#29
12.71.0
9.98.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
Third
6974
#25
18.31.6
15.517.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.4
End3.4
red by 9.8
4251
#34
8.51.7
15.313.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed