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Red79
636925.0
750623.4
415328.3
Blue50
915629.4
910533.7
908831.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616840801007950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.8
22.524.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End9.2
blue by 5.4
9105
#21
33.71.4
14.613.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
Second
6369
#18
25.01.8
20.322.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End7.4
blue by 6.4
9088
#20
31.40.9
22.922.0
Auto5.5
Teleop19.8
End6.0
Third
23.41.1
15.216.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 6.1
9156
#23
29.40.9
25.424.6
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsMissed