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Red127
732118.9
331050.8
753520.3
Blue112
420639.6
874932.6
852820.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657702040100120140127112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.8
39.942.7
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
red by 11.2
39.60.7
35.235.9
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.9
Second
7535
#12
20.32.8
14.016.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8
blue by 12.3
32.60.7
16.517.3
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Third
7321
#11
18.91.7
8.810.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End3.6
blue by 1.5
8528
#27
20.41.2
19.420.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsMissed