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Red96
541131.2
852820.4
331050.8
Blue107
750623.4
915629.4
420639.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9080406010012014096107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.4
42.744.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
red by 11.2
39.62.0
35.937.9
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.9
Second
5411
#22
31.21.4
20.121.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End7.2
red by 1.8
9156
#23
29.42.0
24.626.6
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Third
8528
#27
20.41.4
20.622.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End5.9
blue by 3.0
23.42.0
16.218.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned