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Red101
331050.8
910533.7
750326.3
Blue127
415328.3
300568.8
753520.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781184060100140160180101127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.0
44.146.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
blue by 18.0
68.81.1
62.363.4
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End9.0
Second
9105
#21
33.72.0
15.317.4
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 5.4
28.31.8
26.528.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End9.2
Third
7503
#14
26.31.2
18.519.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.7
End6.9
red by 6.0
7535
#12
20.31.8
16.618.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned